It’s four days after Election Day, and CNN has not yet projected who will win.
Here’s how CNN projections work: There’s a team of dedicated statistical analysts that helps decide when CNN can make a call on election results, CNN’s political director David Chalian explains.
“All they do is, every single time vote comes in from one of these states, they plug it into their models and their formulas, trying to ascertain a very high level of confidence,” in the results so that whoever is the number two person in these contests doesn’t have a real possibility to overtake the number one person, Chalian said.
The reason why CNN is not projecting the results in states like Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Arizona, “it’s because of the math and getting to the highest level of confidence before any projection is made,” Chalian added.
The 2020 United States presidential election was the 59th quadrennial presidential election. It was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, and won by Joe Biden. The 2020 Senate elections and the 2020 House elections, along with various other local elections, were held concurrently with the presidential election. Voters selected presidential electors of the Electoral College who in turn will vote on December 14, 2020, to either elect a new president and vice president or reelect incumbents Donald Trump and Mike Pence, respectively. This was the first election since 1992 and the fourth since World War II in which a sitting president failed to secure a second term. Biden recorded the most votes ever cast for a presidential candidate in an American election, beating Barack Obama’s record, as did Trump.
To nominate the candidates, a series of presidential primary elections and caucuses were held from February to August 2020, with voters casting ballots selecting a slate of delegates to a political party’s nominating convention, who then elect their parties’ nominees for president and vice president. The major two-party candidates were Republican incumbent President Trump and Democratic former vice president Joe Biden. Trump secured the Republican nomination without any serious opposition, while Biden secured the Democratic nomination over his closest rival, Senator Bernie Sanders, in a competitive primary that featured the largest field of presidential candidates for any political party in the modern era of American politics. Biden’s running mate Senator Kamala Harris is the first African American, first Asian American, and third female[b] vice presidential nominee on a major party ticket.
Central issues of the election included the impact of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, which has left more than 230,000 Americans dead; dealing with the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States; protests in reaction to the police killing of George Floyd and others; the confirmation of Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court during the election, after the death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg; Trump’s withdrawal of the United States from the Paris Agreement; and Biden arguing for protecting and expanding the Affordable Care Act, with Trump pushing for its repeal.
In the lead-up to the election, on election night, and after Biden was declared winner, Trump made frequent false claims intended to cast doubt on the legitimacy of the election, and refused to commit to a peaceful transfer of power. By November 7, Biden and Harris were declared winners by all major news outlets projecting the results, including ABC, the Associated Press, CNN, Fox, NBC, The New York Times, and Reuters. Counting continues to determine the final results. Biden and Harris are scheduled to be inaugurated on January 20, 2021. Trump has yet to concede.